RoboStreet – August 13, 2020
No Value Trap This Time Around
For as far back as most anyone can remember, every time the value stocks have made an attempt to put together a sustainable rally, the effort has ended up trapping hopeful investors that just maybe this time will be different. While the major averages rallied to new all-time highs on the back of big-cap growth stocks, shares of industrials, financials, consumer staples, materials, and energy stocks sorely lagged.
It’s been the story for two years, until recently, when strong fund flows started showing up in the value sectors with a new level of conviction. After all, technology, biotech, and healthcare stocks reached premium valuations where further upside momentum was showing signs of exhaustion, forcing money to look elsewhere for opportunities.
And remember we’re not talking about day-trading here. I’m looking for 50-100% gains inside of the next 3 months, so my weekly updates are timely enough for you to act.
Treasury yield was significantly higher this week (the TLT reached 50 days MA) and the Dollar Index (DXY) continues to go through building a short-term bottom.
My opinion has not changed. The short-term bottom is at $300 and potentially can be retested most likely in August (put/call ratio is at the lowest point this year). SPY longer-term overhead resistance is at $340 and can be retested in the next 2-4 weeks. I would be a buyer using any short-term corrections, but would not chase the stock market at these levels.
SPY top is set at $340 and the market can potentially retest the all-time high level in the next 1-2 weeks. The market can overshoot support and resistance levels when VIX is elevated. My strategy is to buy 5-10% market corrections. What is notable is the even in an elevated market, money isn’t leaving the market, but instead rotating into value sectors.
The industrial sector is where institutional managers are adding aggressively to their portfolios and provide what I believe is the most attractive of the value sectors in which to initiate positions on dips. The go-to ETF in the space is Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) where the top ten holdings account for 41.20% of assets.
When applying my Tradespoon AI-platform to XLI, we are getting very bullish indicators across the 20,30,40 and 50-day periods going forward. So, based on my short-term signals, we’ll be active in our RoboInvestor advisory service in either the stocks or the ETF as our buy signals warrant.
Just a note on RoboInvestor, the portfolio we manage is composed of around 20 holdings that we deploy as directional trades. Every two weeks we bring two new recommendations to our members and trim holdings when profits and our AI tools indicate to book gains.
Our Winning Trades Percentage is 89.10%, and there are not other advisory services we know of where roughly 9 out of every 10 trades turn a profit. Our current portfolio hasn’t realized a single loss since March 9, and we intend on keeping that winning streak sizzling hot.
Lately, we’ve been ringing the register in Abbott Labs (ABT), Rockwell Automation (ROK), Target Corp. (TGT), SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), DR Horton (DHI and Square Inc. (SQ).
We only work with blue-chip stocks and ETFs that include equities, commodities, currencies, market hedges, interest rates, and volatility. There are always long and short opportunities in multiple asset classes, which makes RoboInvestor such a valuable service. Our AI platform identifies various places where we can profit from every day.
The market landscape is only going to get more tricky heading into the election season, so join RoboInvestor today and take the guesswork out of wealth creation. Take advantage of our special offer and let me be the first to welcome you aboard as we trade our way to wealth together.
And remember we’re not talking about day-trading here. I’m looking for 50-100% gains inside of the next 3 months, so my weekly updates are timely enough for you to act.
*Please note: RoboStreet is part of your free subscription service. It is not included in any paid Tradespoon subscription service. Vlad Karpel only trades his own personal money in paid subscription services. If you are a paid subscriber, please review your Premium Member Picks, ActiveTrader, MonthlyTrader, or RoboInvestor recommendations. If you are interested in receiving Vlad’s personal picks, please click here.
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