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With less than a week until the U.S. election, the market broke through the $340-342 support level and remains prone for further corrections, the next level of support is set at $330. Today, U.S. stocks continued to slide as all three major U.S. indices finished in the red. The Nasdaq saw over 3.7% losses while the Dow and S&P hovered near 3.5% losses. Continuing the streak of down sessions, stocks are turning lower as COVID cases continue to increase while vaccine and stimulus progress seems to have stalled. The second wave of cases in Europe is also causing further shutdowns, with the latest coming from Germany and France. Globally, European markets finished significantly lower while Asian markets were mixed. Tech execs met with a Senate committee to discuss social media-related liabilities today as most major tech stocks saw significant drops. Google, Facebook, Twitter, and Microsoft all closed 5% lower. Look out for key tech earnings tomorrow with Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Shopify set to report. Our latest models are projecting the SPY to trade in the range of $318-$360 and we will look to be buyers into any short-term corrections. Short-term traders could consider adding to positions when SPY is near $330. We continue monitoring VIX levels as the market can overshoot support and resistance levels when VIX is trading near the $25 level. As always, we encourage all market commentary readers to maintain clearly defined stop-levels for all positions. For reference, the SPY Seasonal Chart is shown below:
Key U.S. Economic Reports/Events This Week:
Upcoming Earnings:
For reference, the S&P 10-Day Forecast is shown below:
Using the “^GSPC” symbol to analyze the S&P 500 our 10-day prediction window shows a near-term mixed outlook. Prediction data is uploaded after the market closes at 6 p.m. CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
The stock is trading at $124.97 with a vector of 1.19% at the time of publication.
10-Day Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
Note: The Vector column calculates the change of the Forecasted Average Price for the next trading session relative to the average of actual prices for the last trading session. The column shows the expected average price movement “Up or Down”, in percent. Trend traders should trade along the predicted direction of the Vector. The higher the value of the Vector the higher its momentum.
*Please note: At the time of publication Vlad Karpel does have a position in the featured symbol, DGX. Our featured symbol is part of your free subscription service. It is not included in any paid Tradespoon subscription service. Vlad Karpel only trades his money in paid subscription services. If you are a paid subscriber, please review your Premium Member Picks, ActiveTrader, or MonthlyTrader recommendations. If you are interested in receiving Vlad’s picks, please click here.
West Texas Intermediate for Crude Oil delivery (CL.1) is priced at $37.38 per barrel, down 5.53% at the time of publication.
Looking at USO, a crude oil tracker, our 10-day prediction model shows positive signals. The fund is trading at $27.11 at the time of publication. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
Gold
The price for the Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) is down 1.80% at $1,877.40 at the time of publication.
Using SPDR GOLD TRUST (GLD) as a tracker in our Stock Forecast Tool, the 10-day prediction window shows mixed signals. The gold proxy is trading at $178.55, at the time of publication. Vector signals show -0.25% for today. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is down, at 0.804% at the time of publication.
The yield on the 30-year Treasury note is down, at 1.596% at the time of publication.
Using the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) as a proxy for bond prices in our Stock Forecast Tool, we see mixed signals in our 10-day prediction window. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) is $32.46 at the time of publication, and our 10-day prediction window shows mixed signals. Prediction data is uploaded after the market close at 6 p.m., CST. Today’s data is based on market signals from the previous trading session.
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